^ Original-Research: Nabaltec AG - from NuWays AG

06.03.2026 / 09:00 CET/CEST Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group. The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.

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Classification of NuWays AG to Nabaltec AG

Company Name: Nabaltec AG ISIN: DE000A0KPPR7

Reason for the research: Update Recommendation: BUY Target price: EUR 16 Target price on sight of: 12 months Last rating change: Analyst: Christian Sandherr

Q4p weak, FY26 guidance mixed; chg. est.

Nabaltec published preliminary FY25 figures with a soft end to the year, below our estimates. At the same time, management released a FY26 guidance. While mid single-digit sales growth is expected, the margin guidance came in disappointing, reflecting several potential headwinds. In detail:

Q4 burdened by weak Dec. business. Sales in the fourth quarter stood at EUR 41.9m, down 7.7% yoy (eNuW old: EUR 44.4m) as the company suffered from short-term order cancellations and postponements, particularly visible within the Functional Fillers segment (-10% yoy vs -0.4% at 9M) and a weak last month of the year. FY25p sales decreased by 3.2% yoy to EUR 197m with Functional Fillers -3% (gap filler strong demand, aluminium hydroxide flat-ish with lower sales prices and weak boehmites sales) and Specialty Alumina -6%.

As a result of the weak demand in Q4, EBIT stood at a mere EUR 1.2m (2.9% margin) vs EUR 5.5m in the previous year. With this, the FY margin decreased by 3.1pp yoy to 7.7%; absolute EBIT of EUR 15.2m (eNuW old: EUR 15.9m). Overall, slight price pressure, higher labour and energy prices weighed on margins throughout the year but especially in Q4 due to the lower fix cost coverage.

FY26 guidance mixed. Management expects to grow the company's top-line by 4-6% (eNuW old: 5.6%), anticipating higher sales volumes for ATH (higher demand across key end markets) but also the gap filler (eNuW: Functional Fillers +6%). For the latter, Nabaltec is in the midst of production capacity expansion to accommodate demand for the coming years. We model largely flat sales for Specialty Alumina (high refractory exposure) as slightly higher volumes compensate for lower sales prices.

Yet, the EBIT margin guidance of 5-7% came in clearly below our old 8.4% estimate as the company is factoring in margins of safety stemming from the Iran war (impacting energy prices) but also uncertainties from the scheduled maintenance at the waste incineration plant next to its site in Germany (key supplier of production relevant steam). Longer disruptions would require NTG to produce their own steam using LNG, which currently experiencing significant price increases. Excluding those margins of safety, the margin guidance should have been largely in line with our old estimates, in our view. Most importantly, we regard those as one-off topics (2027e EBIT margin to improve to 8%, eNuW).

While short-term newsflow will most likely not support a re-rating of the shares, the valuation continues to appear cheap (shares clearly below book value), especially when considering the return to positive FCF generation following the completion of the current capex program by next year. Adj. FCFY of 16% (FY26) already underpins this. We hence confirm our BUY rating with a slightly reduced EUR 16 PT (old: EUR 18) as we reduce estimates but at the same time move from a blended FY25/26e FCFY approach to FY26e FCFY.

You can download the research here: https://eqs-cockpit.com/c/fncls.ssp?u=64c4a3317900698208a8315aa3736053 For additional information visit our website: https://www.nuways-ag.com/research-feed

Contact for questions: NuWays AG - Equity Research Web: www.nuways-ag.com Email: research@nuways-ag.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany ++++++++++ Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte. Offenlegung möglicher Interessenkonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befindet sich in der vollständigen Analyse. ++++++++++

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2286874 06.03.2026 CET/CEST

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Quelle: dpa-Afx